Purple Reign takes a look at player prop bets and provides his evaluations on props that have caught his eye. While there is no guarantees in sports betting, Joe Arpasi looks to provide insight on wagers that he believes have a higher chance for success or failure. Please remember to bet responsibly.
Today Joe Arpasi reviews season long player prop bets that are being offered by Underdog Fantasy.
BONUS BETS
While premium subscribers get access to all the prop bets that Joe Arpasi has identified, these “bonus bet” suggestions are free for everyone to review.
Any Bets That Include Playoff Games Started
Confidence – Extremely Low
Bet Suggestion – Avoid
I am not a fan of any bet that includes playoff games started. There are too many variables that come into play for a team to make the playoffs, and for that player to be healthy and start a playoff game. My conservative side leans toward avoiding any of these bets.
QB DJ Lagway (Fla) – 2549.5 passing yards
Confidence – Very High
2025 Projection – 3698 passing yards
Bet Suggestion – Higher
This prop looks to me like Underdog didn’t take into account that Lagway was not the starter for all of last season. I will admit that my passing yardage projection is ambitious but there is so much room between the prop value and the projection that I feel great about taking the Higher bet here.
RB Jonah Coleman (Wash) – 874.5 rushing yards
Confidence – Low
2025 Projection – 982 rushing yards
Bet Suggestion – Avoid
There are too many unknown variables with the Washington rushing game for me to like this bet. QB Demond Williams will eat into the rushing workload of Coleman, but we have no clue how much. Last season Coleman only had six games with more than 15 carries. I don’t see him having more 15+ carry games with Williams in the backfield this year. On the flip side, Coleman’s yards per carry should increase now that there’s a rushing QB threat. So while I have Coleman’s carries dropping from 184 in 2024 (not counting bowl game) to 164 this season, his efficiency stats could get him to hit this yardage prop. With all this uncertainty I’m staying away from this prop.
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